FeedPosted Mar 9th 2011 2:00PM by Trefis (RSS feed)
Filed under: Television, Viacom (VIA)
Viacom (VIA) competes with other media and broadcasting companies like Time Warner (TWX), News Corp. (NWS), CBS (CBS) and Disney (DIS) in the media and entertainment business. Our price estimate for Viacom's stock stands at $58.36, which is a roughly 10% premium to market price.
Viacom makes money through cable and satellite operators, such as Comcast (CMCSA), Time Warner Cable (TWC), and DirecTV (DTV) that pay Viacom a monthly fee for each of their subscribers that receive Viacom-owned channels such as Nickelodeon, MTV, VH1 and TV Land. Viacom also sells advertising spots on its channels to advertisers like Coca-Cola (KO), Ford (F) and Procter & Gamble (PG). These revenues are partially a function of the total number of U.S. pay-TV households. The modifiable chart below showcases how changes to this metric affect Viacom's stock value.
Continue reading TV Channels Drive 79% of Viacom's Stock Value
Posted Oct 12th 2010 9:30AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Television, CBS Corp 'B' (CBS), Technical Analysis, Media World
CBS (CBS) closed yesterday's session at a price of $17.51. Volume wasn't great, but it was a holiday, so I'm sure that affected the trading. What made me take note of the movement was the fact that the shares are not far at all from the 52-week high of $17.64.
I've been wary of buying the broadcasting company. Back in August, when I took a look at the Q2 report, I expressed some reticence toward the technical quality of the stock compared to other opportunities. Besides that concern, I suppose one always has to be careful with significant exposure to network television, as many consider such a traditional business challenging in an age of digital distribution and intense competition from cable channels.
Continue reading CBS: Keeping an Eye on the Stock
Posted Sep 7th 2010 9:00AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Television, Viacom (VIA), Media World
Viacom (VIA.B) issued a press release at the beginning of the month touting MTV's excellent summer. The cable asset is apparently very satisfied with the ratings generated by some of its famous franchises.
Management said MTV's performance from June through August was the best in three years. Ratings increased 16% on a year-over-year basis during that time period. Without checking, can you guess what was highlighted near the top of the release? I'm sure Jersey Shore immediately came to your mind. The show engaged 5.8 million total viewers at its series high.
Continue reading Viacom's MTV Had Fun in the Sun - Let's Hope It Lasts
Posted Aug 28th 2010 11:40AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Television, General Electric (GE), Walt Disney (DIS), News Corp'B' (NWS)
Distribution of content fascinates me. So does compensation for the talent that generates the content. In my mind, talent is extremely overcompensated via pricey salaries and overgenerous profit-participation schemes. The demands of talent constitute a friction working against the goal of increasing shareholder value in the media industry. Time and time again, we see evidence of the thesis.
These were my thoughts as I checked out Steve Levitan's comments on streaming practices at ABC.com and Hulu that were made in an interview at The Hollywood Reporter. Levitan is one of the creators of the excellent Modern Family series. That really is a quality show, and I'm glad ABC possesses it in its programming portfolio. I'm a shareholder of Disney (DIS), as you might have guessed.
Continue reading Steve Levitan and Hulu: Media Shareholders Should Pay Attention
Posted Aug 14th 2010 12:10PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Television, Time Warner (TWX), Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), News Corp'B' (NWS), Media World
I've been thinking about the whole Jersey Shore zeitgeist. You know the show. It's on Viacom's (VIA) MTV. It's a huge hit, everyone is talking about it and its stars (Snooki, The Situation, etc.). It also was mentioned in a recent conference call the media company had with investors.
It was reported that the cast was able to significantly increase its salary for the reality series. When I first heard about the demands, I mused to myself that this was a grand opportunity for Hollywood to say no to minor celebrities. After all, it's just a reality show, folks. Even though Snooki is immensely popular, there are many more Snooki-type individuals out there. Dime-a-dozen comes to mind when thinking of the goofy girl with the poofy coif.
Continue reading If Snooki Can Beat Viacom, Is the Hollywood Business Model in Trouble?
Posted Aug 4th 2010 9:30AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Television, General Electric (GE), Walt Disney (DIS), CBS Corp 'B' (CBS), News Corp'B' (NWS), Media World
Have you been thinking about buying CBS (CBS)? It's not too far away from its 52-week high. At the end of Tuesday's regular session, the stock, whose colleagues include Disney (DIS), General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal, and News Corp. (NWS), settled out at a price of $15.01; the high for the year is $16.98. The one-year chart tells an interesting story: The trend over the last twelve months has been up, but lately, there's been a healthy amount of sideways action, which, of course, might not be healthy for growth investors.
Then again, for longer-term investors, at least the shares have been holding up, right? And now we come to the second-quarter report, released Tuesday after the bell. What does it tell us about the situation?
Continue reading CBS: Should You Take a Look After Second-Quarter Earnings?
Posted May 26th 2010 9:30AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Television, AT and T (T), Comcast Cl'A' (CMCSA), Verizon Communications (VZ)
TiVo (TIVO), an expert in digital-video recording, closed Tuesday's regular session at $9.15. It was up over 1%. Sure, that sounds swell when juxtaposed with Tuesday's market action. It does nothing, however, to make me like the stock.
The 52-week low for the shares is $6.41. The 52-week high is $18.93. The one-year chart is ... not appealing. You've got a big spike in buying interest near the right side, preceded by sideways action. Then, a nasty plunge. How can you possibly comprehend this technical situation? It's difficult at best, and I'm not going to pretend I know where the stock is heading.
Continue reading TiVo Records Another Loss in Q1
Posted May 19th 2010 1:00PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Television, General Electric (GE), Walt Disney (DIS), CBS Corp 'B' (CBS), News Corp'B' (NWS), Media World, World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE)
Shareholders of Disney (DIS) are looking forward to a little boost this
Sunday. The television series
Lost is coming to an end, and there is a lot of celebratory buzz surrounding the send-off. I've never really sat down to watch the show (at least, not an entire episode all the way through), but I actually may watch the last moments of the final episode in the quizzical universe. Yes, the buzz has apparently sucked me in, too.
Yet, I have a thought to propose to the media industry: Should Disney charge viewers to see the finale?
Continue reading Should Disney Have Charged for the 'Lost' Finale?
Posted May 6th 2010 3:15PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Television, General Electric (GE), Walt Disney (DIS), CBS Corp 'B' (CBS), News Corp'B' (NWS), Media World
CBS (CBS), the famous broadcaster whose competitors include Disney (DIS), General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal, and News Corp. (NWS), reported Q1 earnings after the bell on Wednesday. This afternoon, the stock is firmly in the red: at the time of this writing, shares were down over 4% to $14.93. Below $15, can you believe it? Volume is very strong with more than two hours to go before the close of regular activities, so by the time this is published, volume might end up being quite impressive.
The 52-week high on the stock is $16.98. The market has been discounting better times ahead for the company, as the following one-year chart seems to indicate.
Continue reading CBS: Better Income, Cash Flow in Q1
Posted Feb 24th 2010 6:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Television, Newspapers, Internet, Media World

The internet, the enemy of print newspapers, is, conversely, the friend of television, at least initially in the digital age.
The phenomenon,
The New York Times (
NYT)
reported Wednesday, has to do with the promotional effect that the internet's social dimension has created for television. Specifically, the recent explosive growth and popularity of
Facebook (with an astounding 400 million users), has created a new, de-facto 'office water-cooler chat' for television.
Continue reading The Internet: Enemy of Newspapers, But the Friend of T.V. (So Far)
Posted Feb 19th 2010 9:00AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Television, General Electric (GE), Walt Disney (DIS), CBS Corp 'B' (CBS), News Corp'B' (NWS)
CBS (CBS) posted Q4 figures Thursday after the bell. The broadcaster, which competes with Disney's (DIS) ABC, General Electric's (GE) NBC, and News Corp.'s (NWS) Fox, said it made 25 cents per share on an adjusted basis. The growth rate wasn't bad at 19%, but unfortunately, expectations were only met. I know, meeting expectations isn't necessarily the worst thing in the world, but let's remember how the analyst game operates: beating estimates is all that matters.
But meeting expectations wasn't the most disappointing part of the story -- far from it. Instead, the flat top line and the decline in cash flow were more relevant elements. Net cash from operations for all of 2009 was a little under $940 million. There was over $2.1 billion generated from operations in 2008.
Continue reading CBS Increases Adjusted Profit in Q4, Cash Flow Down for the Year
Posted Feb 1st 2010 1:50PM by Beth Gaston Moon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Products and Services, Consumer Experience, Television, General Electric (GE), Walt Disney (DIS), News Corp'B' (NWS), Videos, Technology
Ahhh, Hulu. That wonderful destination where I can re-acquaint myself with my favorite Justin-Timberlake-on-SNL moments, catch up on episodes of Greek, and search for those old Silver Spoons clips I remember so fondly. The two-year-old website is a joint venture between Walt Disney's (DIS) ABC Network, General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal division, and News Corp.'s (NWS) FOX Entertainment Group, and is partially funded by Providence Equity Partners.
But just as online news readers may soon be charged to access The New York Times online, we may have to open our wallets for certain corners of the Hulu universe (they will likely still let me watch Silver Spoons for free).
Continue reading Is the Free Ride Over at Hulu?
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