FeedPosted Jan 31st 2011 4:30PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Stock Screen

As noted earlier, if you're looking for a sleep-well-at-night energy play, skip Canada-based oil sands company Suncor Energy (
SU).
Suncor, which I first wrote about on February 5, 2009 at a price of $18.35, has chopped and bounced its way up to the
$40-level, primarily largely on oil's sustained, higher price -- necessary to make higher-cost oil-sands extraction profitable.
But to say the rise has had its fits-and-starts would be an understatement: $4 weekly gains are followed $3 losses.
Further, if you're in/at near $18.35, now may be a good time to consider taking some profits with SU.
Continue reading Suncor Energy Chops Above $40
Posted Jan 18th 2011 1:00PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Insiders, Newsletters, Stock Screen
"KKR Financial Holdings (KFN) is a leading alternative asset manager; led by its founders, Henry Kravis and George Roberts, KKR specializes in large, complex buyouts," notes Mark Skousen.
The editor of The Hedge Fund Trader explains, "The company's edge is industry-leading private equity experience, in-depth industry knowledge, sophisticated processes for growing and improving businesses and an almost unbeatable information network.
"KKR has a history of landmark achievements in private equity, including the first leverage buyout above the $1-billion mark.
Continue reading Insider Shows Confidence in KKR Financial (KFN)
Posted May 19th 2010 12:10PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive Strategy, Microsoft (MSFT), General Electric (GE), Wal-Mart (WMT), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), Bank of America (BAC), Procter and Gamble (PG), PetroChina Co Ltd ADR (PTR), Wells Fargo (WFC), Serious Money, Stock Screen, China Mobile Limited (CHL)
Over the years I have referred to "my pal Warren" (Warren Buffet) on many occasions. He has taught me a great deal. I have learned a few things from Sir John Templeton (RIP) as well. But when I think about the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratios, it is Peter Lynch who stands tall.
Lynch has been retired for many years and has been generous enough to share some of his thoughts in a couple of worthy books: One Up on Wall Street and Beating the Street. I highly recommend these best sellers to anyone that wants to expand their knowledge of value investing or manage their own finances.
Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 3
Posted Feb 9th 2010 2:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Wal-Mart (WMT), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Entrepreneurs, Serious Money, Stock Screen, Raytheon Company (RTN), Xcel Energy (XEL), EZCORP (EZPW), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

While most investors are fretting the markets recent contraction, you can be quite confident that "my pal Warren" has a smile on his face, as does Peter Lynch, Ken Heebner, Bill Miller, Bruce Berkowitz, and any number of fellow value investors that know now may be a time of opportunity. That is because they have the experience and understanding to pounce when they have a chance to buy things cheap.
This is the fourth installment of my series to discover just that: cheap stocks. If you would like to get on board from the beginning then review the initial post which screened for stocks with lower than market average P/E ratios, see
Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks. In the second installment, I looked at yield and PEG ratios:
Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth. Then I moved on to the the P/S and P/CF metrics in
Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26, cutting nine stocks.
Continue reading Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks List Shrinks from 26 to 21
Posted Feb 9th 2010 1:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Good news, Money and Finance Today, Hasbro Inc (HAS), Chasing Value™, Stock Screen, Stock Picks

Yesterday Hasbro, Inc. (
HAS) r
eported 2009 fourth quarter and full-year results.
For the fourth quarter 2009, the Company reported net revenues of $1.38 billion, an increase of $144.1 million or 12%, compared to $1.23 billion a year ago. 2009 fourth quarter revenues grew 7% excluding a $55.4 million positive impact of foreign exchange. The Company reported net earnings for the quarter of $165.6 million or $1.09 per diluted share,
an increase of $72.0 million or 77%, compared to $93.6 million or $0.62 per diluted share in 2008.
The strong results in a bad year support my contention that today's stock market, even in these uncertain times, does have plenty of bargains.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Hasbro Earnings Makes My Point
Posted Feb 3rd 2010 10:40AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: eBay (EBAY), Pfizer (PFE), Wal-Mart (WMT), International Business Machines (IBM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Altria Group (MO), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), AutoZone Inc (AZO), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), General Mills (GIS), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Merck and Co (MRK), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Serious Money, Stock Screen, Raytheon Company (RTN), Xcel Energy (XEL), EZCORP (EZPW), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

Is the market overpriced? Maybe it is cheap, or perhaps it is fairly valued. This is the third in a series examining the issue. Still, it has been my contention that it does not make any difference because no matter how the market is valued as a whole, there are plenty of cheap stocks out there to accommodate a large amount of capital allocation even this deep into a bull run.
If you would like to follow along from the beginning, the initial post screened stocks for lower than market average P/E ratios:
Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks. In the second installment, I looked at yield and PEG ratios:
Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth.
Continue reading Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26
Posted Feb 1st 2010 2:50PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), eBay (EBAY), Pfizer (PFE), Wal-Mart (WMT), International Business Machines (IBM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Altria Group (MO), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), AutoZone Inc (AZO), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), General Mills (GIS), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Merck and Co (MRK), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Serious Money, Stock Screen, Stocks to Buy, Raytheon Company (RTN), EZCORP (EZPW), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

Let's try and reduce the gambling by examining the facts and ignoring what the bulls and bears are chatting up at the moment. We started the process by screening for lower than market average P/E ratios, see:
Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks.
Two more important criteria influence today's review: the yield, a favorite of
"my pal Warren"; and the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) a focus of Peter Lynch, the retired fund manager extraordinaire of Fidelity's Magellan Fund.
Continue reading Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth
Posted Jan 28th 2010 3:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), eBay (EBAY), Pfizer (PFE), Wal-Mart (WMT), International Business Machines (IBM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Altria Group (MO), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), General Mills (GIS), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Merck and Co (MRK), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Serious Money, Stock Screen, S and P 500, Xcel Energy (XEL), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

We frequently receive comments that the market is overpriced. Recently one of our active readers commented that the market P/E was 30, which it's not. The
actual rate (S&P forecast) has been even higher at times due to the volatile market.
The average should trend closer to the long term P/E of 15.7 in the next few years. However, I have reviewed companies often covered on our site and come up with a list of 35 stocks that have price-to-earning ratios below the long-term average already. I think there are dozens of bargains regardless of the status of the overall market.
Continue reading Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks
Posted Dec 14th 2009 2:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Consumer Experience, Competitive Strategy, Home Depot (HD), Automatic Data Proc (ADP), Lowe's Cos (LOW), Chasing Value™, Stock Screen, Stocks to Buy,

The contenders list is down to twelve stocks and three puts. I will not be trimming the list today. Instead, I will be reviewing possibilities among four more stocks of well established companies.
There are the two largest home improvement stores, Home Depot (
HD) and Lowe's Cos (
LOW) as well as the two largest payroll companies, Automatic Data Processing (
ADP) and Paychex Inc. (
PAYX). They are all fine, well-managed companies, so this will just be a numbers game along with a sense of whether the economy is going to reward investors in 2010, or if it's too early.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 10
Posted Dec 7th 2009 12:40PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Management, Exxon Mobil (XOM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), Chasing Value™, Stock Screen, Oil, Stocks to Buy, Brown Forman (BF.A)
In Part 6, we're going back for seconds: our second alcohol company, energy company and medical company. The reasons should be apparent, but in case they aren't: I think all three are essential -- maybe alcohol more than the other two. Ironically alcohol can be substituted for the other two, and often has been.
All three companies are well-established and U.S. based, lead their respective industries, have top flight management in the judgment of their peers and the investment community, pay dividends and have a long history of high return-on-equity.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 6
Posted Dec 4th 2009 5:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Other Issues, Management, Competitive Strategy, General Electric (GE), International Business Machines (IBM), American Express (AXP), FedEx Corp (FDX), Deere and Co (DE), Serious Money, Stock Screen

We started this
review with 25 stocks of companies noted for their quality of management and how successful they have been at nurturing new leaders as presented in Fortune magazine. After running them through a serious screening process using universally agreed upon key metrics, the list has been reduced to six candidates for potential investment.
I will reiterate that there is no imperative to invest in any of them even if they might be among the best opportunities from a select list. While I think all of the original companies listed and stocks screened are well regarded that does not mean now is the right time to invest.
Regardless of the outcome of this process, and since price and timing are critical, it would be smart to create a stock watch-list with the inclusion of all six of these companies.
Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, final 4
Posted Dec 2nd 2009 1:40PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, General Electric (GE), PepsiCo (PEP), Intel (INTC), McDonald's (MCD), International Business Machines (IBM), 3M Corporation (MMM), American Express (AXP), FedEx Corp (FDX), General Mills (GIS), Procter and Gamble (PG), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Lilly (Eli) (LLY), Deere and Co (DE), Unilever ADR (UL), Serious Money, Stock Screen, China Mobile Limited (CHL),
This is the third screening to find value among Fortune's 25 corporate world leaders that have demonstrated an ability to regenerate themselves from within. The list has been cut to 18 and will be cut further here.
The methodology of using basic stock data points to identify potential value investments only sets the stage for success -- it assures nothing. While it is true that paying less is better than paying more and getting a higher yield is better than less, this gives you a scant picture of what is in people's hearts and minds, and that is harder to judge. Like the weather, no matter the predictions, you may not find out it is raining until you are standing in it. Regardless, it should be advantageous to start with good stock (pun intended) before you take to whittlin', and that we have.
Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, 18 remain
Posted Dec 1st 2009 6:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Electric (GE), PepsiCo (PEP), Intel (INTC), McDonald's (MCD), International Business Machines (IBM), 3M Corporation (MMM), American Express (AXP), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), FedEx Corp (FDX), General Mills (GIS), Procter and Gamble (PG), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Lilly (Eli) (LLY), Deere and Co (DE), Unilever ADR (UL), Serious Money, Stock Screen, China Mobile Limited (CHL)
Yesterday I started a review of 25 companies that Fortune deemed most successful according to their peers in developing quality leadership. Today I review the remaining 20, searching to find the ones that might be worth investing in.
Price-to-book (from 11/27/09) was used as the first value screen. The theory being from a value investor's perspective that buying for a price at or near the break-up value of the company provides downside protection. Of course that is easier said than done.
Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, now 20
Posted Nov 30th 2009 1:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Management, General Electric (GE), PepsiCo (PEP), Intel (INTC), McDonald's (MCD), International Business Machines (IBM), 3M Corporation (MMM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), American Express (AXP), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), FedEx Corp (FDX), General Mills (GIS), Procter and Gamble (PG), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Lilly (Eli) (LLY), Deere and Co (DE), Unilever ADR (UL), Serious Money, Stock Screen, China Mobile Limited (CHL),
The recent issue of Fortune magazine discusses how the best of the best train, guide and nurture top managers to become the leaders that will propel their corporations successfully forward. They list the top 25 companies, which I have used as the basis of a new review to see how they would fair against common metric screens.
In the past few months, many articles have posited that large-cap stocks should excel in the coming year based on their lagging the market behind smaller, more volatile stocks flying out of the March lows. I do not believe this is universally true. Plenty of large-cap stocks did well, such as Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG), while many small caps went nowhere. Even among the large caps included in Fortune's "Leadership 25," some have doubled.
Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders among leaders
Posted Aug 19th 2009 2:00PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Stock Screen, Stocks to Buy

"Some sectors tend to do better than others in tough times; biotechnology often surprises investors in good times and bad," suggests
Brandon Clay.
In his Invest with an Edge advisory service, the growth stock advisor looks to Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ: CELG), a player in developing cancer treatments. Here's his review.
"This sometimes-perilous market niche can make or break a portfolio depending on several factors: drug pipeline, continued investment, market factors, and government approvals.
"However, despite the risks, there are times when we believe that individual biotech stocks make sense -- such as our latest recommendation for Celgene.
Continue reading Celgene (CELG): Cancer progress boosts biotech
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