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Short interest back on the rise

For the first time in two months, short interest increased on the major exchanges from the May 15 - May 29 period. On the NYSE, the overall number of shorted shares rose 1% to 15.29 billion; Nasdaq short interest rose 3.6% to 6.6 billion shares.

The NYSE short-interest ratio reached 2.7, while the Nasdaq's ratio hit 3.1. The short-interest ratio can be loosely defined as the number of days, at the average daily trading volume, it would take to buy back all shares currently sold short.

This potentially indicates a turning tide toward bearishness after a March-May period that was painful for the short sellers and others maintaining a bearish disposition. With the S&P 500 Index moving back to challenge the 950 area, the bears may becoming a bit more brave. Are we range-bound, do we have further to run, or are we setting up for another correction phase? Share your thoughts in the comments field.

Beth works for The Options News Network (www.ONN.tv), which provides daily stock and options commentary. The above comments are not intended as trading advice.

Short City: Panera Bread, Cal-Maine Foods

Investor and trader Mishko Janusevich had a mantra that he used to repeat while outlining the top, new stock shorts that appeared that day, as determined by technical indicators.

He would stand next to the overhead projected stock chart at the front of the trading room, point to the stock chart and recite, "You see this stock? You see that it's dropped $8 in past two days? You think it can't drop any more? SELL THAT STOCK it's dropping more!!"

Short these shares if you can tolerate high-risk and are an experienced investor that does not remove Buy/Stop Losses.

Continue reading Short City: Panera Bread, Cal-Maine Foods

Short City: GameStop, Telefonica

Some contend that shorting stocks is un-American. Hardly. Selling short provides liquidity to the markets, aids in price discovery, and provides an extra check -- some argue the only check -- against ill-conceived business ideas and incompetent executives.

New York Stock Trader Dave Fischer is a short king, and has made most of his money over the past 15 years shorting stocks. His favorite phrase is, "With those fundamentals, that stock can't hang on for long."

Short these shares if you can tolerate high-risk and are an experienced investor that does not remove Buy/Stop Losses.

Continue reading Short City: GameStop, Telefonica

Short City: Aeropostale, Burger King

Every market is a two-sided market, and while the typical investor makes money during bullish phases, experienced investors know how to make money during bearish phases, as well. In fact, many experienced and institutional traders make more money shorting stocks than by going long.

Short these shares if you can tolerate high-risk and are an experienced investor that does not remove Buy / Stop Losses.

Continue reading Short City: Aeropostale, Burger King

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Buy banks despite the shorts

The stress tests seem to show that most financials are actually quite healthy.

The market's bullishness gets harder and harder to fight. Now we learn that banks that people were telling me should be shorted aggressively on every lift are actually able to handle things quite fine, thank you very much.

I was concerned about the late moves BB&T (NYSE: BBT) (Cramer's Take) made in real estate at the top, but either the examiners aren't concerned or things have gotten better. I have always been a fan of Capital One (NYSE: COF) (Cramer's Take) and used to own it for Action Alerts PLUS until I got worried about the economy, but it looks like its credit losses are actually holding up rather well and it needs no new capital.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Buy banks despite the shorts

Short City: Washington Post, JetBlue, NJ Resources

Every market is a two-sided market, and while the typical investor makes money during bullish phases, experienced investors know how to make money during bearish phases, as well. In fact, many experienced and institutional traders make more money shorting stocks than by going long.

Short these shares if you can tolerate high-risk and are an experienced investor that does not remove Buy / Stop Losses.

Washington Post Company (NYSE: WPO) The Post's education segment (Kaplan) has grown revenue nicely, but large-single digit (or worse) revenue declines in the flagship print metropolitan daily newspaper The Washington Post will continue to hurt results in F2009, and probably for longer. Buy / Stop Loss if you were to sell shares in this company: $460.

Continue reading Short City: Washington Post, JetBlue, NJ Resources

When the S & P Index is hard to borrow, is the PPT in the house?

The PPT is the vaunted Plunge Protection Team, a much derided but often alluded to collusion of the major prime brokerages (Goldman, Morgan, Stanley, Citi) to halt major stock market declines by manipulating the market. It's never been proven, of course. But a firestorm of comments on ZeroHedge and in other places where hardcore (and some institutional traders) gather has zeroed in on the difficulties many have had borrowing shares of the S&P Index (SPY) in order to short the index. The commenters believe this is a result of the PPT holding back shares to stop any shorts that could torpedo the ongoing rally.

Continue reading When the S & P Index is hard to borrow, is the PPT in the house?

Short selling madness is sanctioned by the SEC

There was a strong outcry last year: "Stop the short selling. It's killing the market." Short sellers were blatantly selling short and then "failing to deliver the stock."

So what exactly was happening? First of all, in order to sell short (sell something you don't have) you must first borrow it from someone else. Usually there are willing lenders at large brokerage houses. What you are trying to do is to sell the stock first and replace it a lower price later on (that is if the market goes your way -- down).

Last year we saw traders selling short without first borrowing the stock. Then, when the buy trade to replace it was executed, there was no stock to deliver. Remember, they were supposed to borrow it first. This is called a "fail to deliver" trade. Former SEC commissioner Roel Campos wrote a letter and posted it on the SEC's website saying: "these companies are instead targets of illegal and manipulative trading with intentional failures to deliver used by traders to extract profits as the share price plummets."

Continue reading Short selling madness is sanctioned by the SEC

Despite rally, there's a surge in short selling

Short selling is on the rise on the New York Stock Exchange. It is at its highest level since the collapse of Lehman Brothers. As the S&P 500 rallied 3% from February 27 to March 13, short interest rose 4.2%, up from 3.8% at the end of February.

Short sellers are betting against the market. In a short sale, the investor first sells the stock in the hopes to buy it later at a lower price. First, the seller must borrow the stock from a willing lender. The heaviest short sales have been in Citigroup Inc (NYSE: C), Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F), General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE), American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG) and Bank of American Corp NYSE: BAC). Frankly, with AIG, Citigroup and Ford trading under $3.00 its hard to figure out why there is so much short selling in these companies unless the shorts are looking for a total collapse of these firms.

Continue reading Despite rally, there's a surge in short selling

What's wrong with the SEC investigation of Lehman Brothers?

The SEC is charged with investigating potential illegal activities in the securities markets. The SEC is failing to carry out its responsibility when it cones to the collapse of Lehman Brothers last year.

The SEC has in front of them charges of excessively high volumes of "naked" short selling in Lehman shares. A "naked" short sale is one where you sell a stock short without first borrowing the stock from a willing lender.If you do not first borrow the stock you cannot deliver it. This is called a "fail to deliver" trade. Last year 32.8 million shares of Lehman stock were sold but the sellers " failed to deliver" the stock. 32.8 millions shares of "failed to deliver" trades is a staggering amount.

Continue reading What's wrong with the SEC investigation of Lehman Brothers?

Hedge Fund Apocalypse: Massive short squeeze on Citi could wipe out dinosaur funds

Citibank N.A.

Image via Wikipedia

While Ben Bernanke's announcement that the Fed was buying Treasuries and sucking up bad mortgages was the cosmetic reason for financials to soar, an equally compelling reason may have been the massive but little-noted short squeeze that the announcement, combined with large government purchases of stakes in these companies, engendered.

Continue reading Hedge Fund Apocalypse: Massive short squeeze on Citi could wipe out dinosaur funds

Doomsday Scenario: Rotten Apple, hedge fund lies, bad case of natural gas

Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is a company with $31 per share in cash on hand that just can't get a break. Analysts have begun downgrading the stock on fears that sales of Macs and iPhones will slow. As Apple hadn't been beaten down enough, shares dove today. Sentiment on Apple is rapidly deteriorating.

Meanwhile, Hedge Fund Research, a company that tracks hedge fund returns, released its February stats for how the hedgies performed. According to HFR, the hedgies beat the market soundly, losing only 0.5% in the month.

Continue reading Doomsday Scenario: Rotten Apple, hedge fund lies, bad case of natural gas

Doomsday Scenario: Could Warren Buffett be wrong?

Here's the latest PM dose of happy doom. Tyler over at ZeroHedge points out that CDS (credit default spreads) on Berkshire Hathaway are hitting all time highs, implying that the risks Berkshire's (NYS: BRK.B) robust cash machine could break down (and even default at some point) are rising fast. Piqqem Sentiment on Berkshire B-class shares is negative, natch, after Buffett's recent mea culpa for losing money last year. If Buffett has lost his mojo, then does anyone have any magic left?

Continue reading Doomsday Scenario: Could Warren Buffett be wrong?

Doomsday Scenario: Just the numbers, ma'am

Even while dancing on the edge of the Great Abyss one should keep one's eye on the numbers. In this case, the key indicators that presage an economy at risk of totally imploding. Sure, the auto sales numbers were no worse than grim expectations and the ISM manufacturing number was actually a positive. But, oh, we have lots of nasty numbers to go around. Start with the RevPar number. That's short for revenue per available room at hotels and is a solid indicator of the health of the travel industry, as well as the state of business travel spending. The number? Down a stunning 15.3% in the month of January, year-over-year.

Continue reading Doomsday Scenario: Just the numbers, ma'am

Textron: First TARP recipient from defense sector

Three products that are probably bad bets in this environment are private jets, helicopters and golf carts. Add in a large captive finance arm and an auto parts unit and you have Textron (NYS: TXT), the latest hobgoblin to join the dividend slasher parade and corporate Deathwatch. The Piqqem Sentiment on Textron is hard negative. The good folks at Ockham's Research hammer home these points and more.

Textron has had trouble in the past accessing commercial paper markets (and it's surely not having trouble now, right?) and raising equity capital. More than 50% of the assets on the books of its captive finance arm are non-performing and that could worsen as more companies that owe it money start to tip over in the various blighted industries it services. Add a slashed dividend to spook value and institutional investors. The upshot? Textron is basically ready to keel over, unfortunately.

Continue reading Textron: First TARP recipient from defense sector

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-223.328,280.74
NASDAQ-49.201,796.52
S&P 500-26.91896.42

Last updated: July 04, 2009: 09:12 AM

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