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Guess? Inc. (NYSE: GES), a fashion retailer that competes in the mall with companies like Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF), Gap (NYSE: GPS), and JCPenney (NYSE: JCP), told the market how it did in Q1 on Thursday after the bell. As I write this during the early afternoon on Friday, shares of Guess? are up well over 6% on very good volume. Was there something to this earnings report?

I didn't think the numbers were particularly fetching. Revenues declined nearly 10%, thanks in part to the effects of currency translation (maybe that should be no thanks). Earnings per share came in at $0.35, a massive 30% decline. And same-store sales in North America dipped 10% (take out currency, and the dip was 6%, which still wasn't good).

Limited Brands (NYSE: LTD), the retailer that runs stores such as Bath & Body Works, Pink, and the sexy Victoria's Secret, issued its Q1 numbers after the bell on Wednesday.

The bottom line didn't look bad. Not that it looked great, mind you. The company earned 1 cent per share. The fact that there was any profit at all was big news. According to analysts, a loss of 3 cents per share was more likely.

The revenue picture was not so pretty, however. Net sales dropped by 10%. And same-store sales decreased 7%. I guess buying lingerie isn't a top priority during a time when jobs are being cut and consumers look in terror upon their 401(k) balances.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE: ANF) reported dismal Q1 numbers as same-store sales plunged.
• Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) dismal Q2 results were in line with analysts' expectations.
• Bankrate Inc. (NASDAQ: RATE) reported lower earnings and revenue for Q1 and offered no guidance.
• Blockbuster Inc. (NYSE: BBI) earnings, revenue, and same-store sales all fell in the first quarter.
• Dr Pepper Snapple Group (NYSE: DPS) Q1 earnings declined but still topped analysts' expectations.

JCPenney (NYSE: JCP), whose colleagues at the mall include Gap (NYSE: GPS), Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF), and Kohl's (NYSE: KSS), brought out its Q1 earnings report from the backroom on Friday. I can't call the numbers great by any stretch of the imagination. But the stock is up slightly as I write this, so I guess the market didn't have a hard time with them.

Net sales declined a little under 6%. Net income came in at $0.11 per share. This represented an enormous drop compared to last year's performance of $0.54 per share. There was, however, a tax/pension issue going on that amounted to $0.32 per share. Still, according to this source, JCPenney beat expectations by a penny. Another source I checked said that the retailer met expectations. Either way, I think you can qualify the quarter as basically in-line.

Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) was not hot at all in the first quarter. It's funny. You hear about the recession coming to an end this year, about things getting better, and then you check out some retail stats and you begin to wonder.

Anyway, Abercrombie, which shares space at the mall with names like J.C. Penney (NYSE: JCP), American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO), Gap (NYSE: GPS), and Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO), saw its top line decline by 24%. Same-store sales for the company's entire operations dropped 30%. Same-store sales at the Abercrombie & Fitch brand itself plunged 26%. Earnings per share took a dive of more than 50% to $0.31. It should be noted, however, that there is a pending non-cash charge that will be added to these results at a later time.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer is seeing signs of a coming boom, but he's still being cautious here.

If you had to define the early cycle, if you had to outline what stocks should be soaring coming out of a recession into a boom and which ones should be faltering, you would have to say the action in this market in the last month is the quintessential behavioral pattern.

What are the components of the early cycle? First, it's the homebuilders. As is typical coming out of a recession, the stocks precede the bottom of housing. That's exactly what's happening with the lowest permits and highest affordability and best mortgage rates and massive inventory. Everywhere, except on Wall Street reporting, the bottom is bursting out. When you read the lead story in the Sunday Philadelphia Inquirer, and it is all about the thousands of prospective homebuyers heading south to pick up condos and homes for half of what they were worth two years ago -- or even less -- and you know that virtually no one has broken ground in the Sunshine State in a year, you can bet that the bottom's actually behind us. This housing market has wiped out all but the most stable private builders and even the public ones are merging as we know from Pulte (NYSE: PHM) (Cramer's Take) and Centex (NYSE: CTX) (Cramer's Take). So, in the next cycle, you can see some profitability developing year over year even though the new homes don't have much margin because the foreclosed homes next door are going for a song. And don't believe this won't change the dynamic of future foreclosures. In most areas, rent is higher than the interest on mortgages, so you will find that second or third job needed to stay in your home. The incentive structure's radically different than a year ago.

A retail stock? In this economic climate? Indeed, it seems implausible, but an argument can be made -- for those investors who can tolerate moderate risk -- for JC Penney (NYSE: JCP). Here's how:

The recession and the new era of the 'frugal consumer' have really taken the wind out the retail sector's sails, but JC Penney is still standing, and if indeed the recession is beginning to bottom, institutional investors will start to position themselves in the sector in a big way. Indeed, some big investors already have, with JCP's shares already having accelerated out of a $15, 52-week low to trade around $25.

DSW (NYSE: DSW) issued a pretty short press release detailing its Q4 earnings on Wednesday. Can't blame management about that. There really wasn't much to say, other than the data did not look appealing.

The footwear business reported a loss of 17 cents per share. In the previous year's Q4, there was a profit of 2 cents per share (I'm sure DSW is looking on that time period with bitter nostalgia). Unfortunately, the market was looking for a loss of only 12 cents per share according to this.

6 Stocks to Lead a Value Comeback
When cheap shares stop trailing, these names will do well. The include Kodak, Allstate, Meredith, JC Penney, MeadWestvaco and Whirlpool.
http://www.smartmoney.com/Investing/Stocks/6-Stocks-To-Lead-a-Value-Comeback/

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says stocks are likely to decline, but don't expect them to fall hard and fast.

So, five days ago we are talking about breaking back to above Dow 10,000 with ease. Now is there anyone out there who doesn't think that we will soon be retesting the mid-7000s? SPX 750, here we come?

What the heck happened in a week? Where did all of that optimism go? We haven't had that many preannouncements yet. We haven't had all of the retail failures we expected, and we didn't even get a spike up in the bad commodities -- like gasoline -- that had any last to it.

Of course, the most likely scenario about what happened is that we figured with all of the crises solved, the major banks no longer an issue, we would then be propelled higher. We also didn't have the reckless short-selling that had so characterized this market.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Agilent Technologies Inc. (NYSE: A) topped estimates but offered an outlook below expectations.
• Best Buy Co. (NYSE: BBY) warned that it many not be able to maintain its earnings momentum.
• Charlotte Russe Holding Inc. (NASDAQ: CHIC) was upgraded because of its growth potential.
• Focus Media Holding Ltd. (NASDAQ: FMCN) shares tumbled after it reported Q3 numbers.
• HLS Systems International (NASDAQ: HOLI) earnings prospects and management impressed an analyst.
• JCPenney Co. Inc. (NYSE: JCP) reported a lower Q3 profit and lowered its guidance due to the recession.
• KKR Financial Holdings (NYSE: KFN) disappointing Q3 results led to analyst downgrades.
• MercadoLibre Inc. (NASDAQ: MELI) doubled its Q3 profit and beat earnings expectations.
• Nortel Networks Corp. (NYSE: NT) swung to a Q3 net loss and unveiled further restructuring measures.
• Perry Ellis International Inc. (NASDAQ: PERY) posted preliminary Q3 results and lowered its outlook.
• Siemens (NYSE: SI) Q4 net loss widened and it warned about meeting its profit target for the year.
• Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ: SBUX) Q4 earnings were hurt by restructuring costs, revenue rose slightly.
• Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL) posted dismal Q4 results and declined to offer guidance for next year.
• Tyson Foods Inc. (NYSE: TSN) solid Q4 results fell short of estimates and it offered a shaky outlook.
• Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC) earnings prospects following its equity offering led to an analyst's upgrade.

Shares of JCPenney (NYSE: JCP) tumbled on Friday after the company reported a decline of more than 50% in third quarter profits, driven largely by extremely weak consumer spending.

Friday also marked the launch of the company's 2008 Christmas Campaign, which will aim to convince consumers that JCPenney offers products similar to those found at higher-end stores at much better prices. Recognizing that the market is weak and that the company's core value-oriented consumers are likely to be stingy, JCPenney is hoping to profit from the trading-down of people who would normally shop at stores like Macy's (NYSE: M) but are feelings strapped.

"It's going to be a real dogfight out there for the customer's dollar," chief marketing officer Mike Boylson told The Wall Street Journal (subscription required). "We need to take market share from somebody else."

Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO) has succeeded in doing just that in the teen apparel market, with its lower price points luring in former Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) loyalists.

The problem may be that the weak economy will lead to a highly promotional environment at all retailers, and the prestige associated brands like Macy's and Bloomingdales combined with big sales could prevent JCPenney from making inroads.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE: ANF), the hip clothing store that competes with The Gap, Inc. (NYSE: GPS) and J.C. Penney Company, Inc. (NYSE: JCP), is no different than any other retailer. Christmas is going to hurt... hurt bad. Make no mistake. And as far as earnings reports goes, the pattern is in: report a decline, then issue some nasty guidance.

Abercrombie reported Q3 numbers today, and according to the press release, net sales decreased 8%, and earnings per diluted share declined 44% to $0.72. As Melly Alazraki reported this morning, that $0.72 beat analyst estimates. But the market could care less. As Melly pointed out, the full-year outlook was cut. The stock sold off upon the news. In fact, as I write this, the stock is down nearly 15%. By the way, if by the time this is published the market is up and Abercrombie's shares are trading in the green (big if, granted), don't even think it's a buy. Put that out of your mind. Did you see the same-store sales? They were down 14% for the quarter. That figure is grabbing the attention of investors, I'm sure. When you see a downturn like that, well, you know things aren't going to turn around quickly.

Abercrombie's woes will be with it for a while. Management will find it difficult to strike the right balance between staffing the stores properly and increasing marketing activities. All retailers will be in the same boat. The stock hit a new 52-week low today of $18.83. My guess is that the stock will be as volatile as the market, and that it will trend in a downward direction over the next couple months. Obviously I don't think it's a buy. Broken stock and broken fundamentals aren't a great combo. Abercrombie continues to plan for new store openings in fiscal 2008; perhaps those investments will pay off down the line. For now, the retail sector is doing horribly, competition in the sector is becoming cutthroat as consumer confidence loses value, and I continue to look at only two names -- Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Target (NYSE: TGT) -- as possible long-term values. Yep, Abercrombie & Fitch isn't so sexy anymore.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

Best Business Schools of 2008
BusinessWeek's 11th biennial ranking of the top B-schools shows a lot of changes and a lot of surprises this year. University of Chicago retains its top spot from 2006 with ambitious students, academic rigor, and a top-notch faculty. Rounding out the top five are Harvard Business School, Northwestern's Kellogg, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business and University of Michigan's Ross School. Columbia Business School saw the biggest improvement as it rises to # 7.
http://images.businessweek.com/ss/08/11/1112_best_business_schools/1.htm
Table: Full Rankings

Thanksgiving Food Cost Cuts
In the midst of the worst holiday economy in decades, foodmakers and grocers find themselves offering special deals at a time of year when they're more accustomed to doing the turkey trot for profits. Butterball is watching for turkey poaching by cheaper private labels. Ocean Spray is rolling back cranberry sauce prices. Giant Food, in some states, is giving away free turkeys to its best customers. One thing's for sure: Many folks will find ways to trim costs. Check out these Turkey Day maneuvers.
http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/food/2008-11-13-thanksgiving-cost-cutting_N.htm?loc=interstitialskip

Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) is planning to cut at least 10,000 jobs in its investment bank and other divisions throughout the world, the Wall Street Journal reported its sources revealed. Managers were instructed to slash their budgets for employee compensation by at least 25%. Meanwhile, CEO Vikram Pandit bought up to 750,000 shares of the company at prices between $8.92 and $9.45 according to SEC filings. Another exec bought 250,000 shares as Citi's stock price fell to lows not seen since the mid-1990s. Citi shares were up 2% in premarket trading (8:03 am). Citi opened much higher, and even traded over $10, but as the market declines so do Citi shares tame their jump. Around 10:10 Citi shares were 3% higher.

Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN) said Thursday that its third-quarter profit fell by 57% as its same-store-sales declined. It slashed its full-year outlook below analyst expectations. JWN stock was down over 5% in after-hours trading. JWN shares had a volatile half an hour after the open. Around 10:10 they were half a percent higher.

Kohl's Corp. (NYSE: KSS) said profit fell for the fifth quarter in a row, dropping 17%, and reduced its annual profit forecast. KSS shares were down over 4% in after-hours trading. KSS shares were 2.4% higher around 10:12.

• Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE: ANF) reported lower quarterly profit, but beat estimates. It also cut its full-year outlook. ANF shares were down 7.4% in premarket trading (8:45 am). ANF shares traded over 4% lower at 10:12.
  
• J.C. Penney (NYSE: JCP) also reported lower quarterly profit -- fell by nearly 53% -- but beat estimates by a penny. Sales fell 8.7% in the quarter. JCP gave full year guidance much lower than analysts' expectations. Shares were down 4.6% in premarket trading (8:33 am). JCP traded 2.4% lower 45 minutes after the open.
  
• Agilent Technologies (NYSE: A) -- keeping the same theme, Agilent [reported higher profit], managed to beat estimates but gave outlook below expectations. Shares were 2% lower in premarket trading (8:23 am). Agilent shares traded 3.3% higher 45 minutes after the open.