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Week in Preview: Inflation, the FOMC and Nike Earnings

earnings expectationsThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets again this week to review economic conditions and set monetary policy. On whether the Fed should end quantitative easing or extend it, Atlanta Fed chairman Dennis Lockhart recently said that the Fed should remain flexible given the rising energy prices, which could be a sign of coming inflation. Either at this meeting or the next, the Fed could signal that interest rates will rise as a hedge against inflation.

Inflation will also be the focus when the Department of Labor releases the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) this week. Back in January the core PPI (which excludes energy and food costs) had its biggest jump in two years, and the core CPI had its largest uptick in more than year, the second month in a row in which consumer prices jumped.

Continue reading Week in Preview: Inflation, the FOMC and Nike Earnings

Will Rising Gas Prices Hurt the U.S. Economy?

gasoline pricesGas prices are rising and show no signs of coming back down. In fact the predictions are for higher prices to come. At the moment, gasoline averages $3.542 per gallon, according the the AAA motorist group, as reported by CNNMoney.

The highest recorded nationwide price was $4.114 on July 17, 2008. Forecasters are looking for the $4.00 per gallon marker to be hit by this summer.

Continue reading Will Rising Gas Prices Hurt the U.S. Economy?

Ann Taylor Jumps 12% On Strong Q4 Earnings, 2011 Outlook

ANN logoAnn Taylor (ANN - option chain) shares are rising today after the company reported earnings this morning, posting a fiscal-Q4 profit of $7.97 million, or 14 cents per share. Excluding one-time items, ANN earned 19 cents per share on revenue of $515.3 million. Analysts had forecast a profit of 17 cents per share on revenue of $515.1 million. ANN also forecast Q1 revenue of $510 million and fiscal-2011 revenue of $2.18 billion. Analysts have forecast Q1 revenue of $488 million and 2011 revenue of $1.98 billion. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on ANN.

ANN opened this morning at $27.38. So far today the stock has hit a low of $26.50 and a high of $27.98. As of 11:55, ANN is trading at $27.19 up $2.98 (12.3%). The chart for ANN looks neutral and S&P gives ANN a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Ann Taylor Jumps 12% On Strong Q4 Earnings, 2011 Outlook

Trade on Quiksilver, Body Central, and Aeropostale Earnings Today

Quiksilver (ZQK), Body Central (BODY), and Aeropostale (ARO) are stocks to watch today, as all three are scheduled to report earnings after the bell.

Street consensus for Quiksilver is a reported loss of 5 cents per share, on revenues of $414 million. Wall Street anticipates Body Central earnings of 26 cents per share, on revenues of $62.1 million. Aeropostale, by Street consensus, is expected to report quarterly earnings of 97 cents per share, on revenues of $834.6 million.

Investors who desire more exposure to the broader sectors of retail and apparel should take a look at the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT).

Jason is a cofounder of Benzinga.com. Follow Benzinga on Twitter at http://Twitter.com/Benzinga

Cattle Futures Are at a Record High

We have yet another food product to add to the inflation list. This time it's cattle. Cattle futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange closed at an all-time high of $1.1752 per pound, as reported in the Wall Street Journal.

Beef is a in a special category. Unlike grains, which are harvested yearly, it takes about three years to raise cattle and bring them to market. High grain prices and high exports have shrunk the size of herds. They are at their lowest levels since the 1950s. With prices so high, some cattle ranchers choose to slaughter their cattle rather than let them mature to full term. These young cattle are called feeder cattle.

Continue reading Cattle Futures Are at a Record High

American Eagle Soars Following Q4 Earnings Report

American Eage Earnings ReportShares of retailer American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) traded sharply higher Wednesday morning after the company posted stronger-than-expected fourth quarter results before the market open.

Going into the earnings report, analysts had been expecting to see the Pittsburgh-based company report earnings of $0.43 per share, but the company beat by a penny with earnings of $0.44. During the same period last year the company had earnings of $0.38 per share.

Continue reading American Eagle Soars Following Q4 Earnings Report

Applied Materials Net Jumps Sixfold; Predicts Bigger Profits in 2011

Applied Materials (AMAT) is the world's largest semiconductor producer. The company has diversified and is producing solar power cells, but its main revenue stream is still mainly coming from crystalline silicon technology.

The company had blowout earnings in the fiscal first quarter, with income of $506 million or 38 cents a share, up from $83 million or six cents a share a year earlier, as reported in the Wall Street Journal. Revenue rose 45% to $2.69 billion from $1.95 billion.

Continue reading Applied Materials Net Jumps Sixfold; Predicts Bigger Profits in 2011

Ciena Tumbles on Weak Q2 Forecast

CIEN logoCiena (CIEN - option chain) stock is trading lower today after the company reported Q1 2011 earnings this morning, posting a loss of $79.06 million, or 84 cents per share. Excluding one-time items, CIEN lost 14 cents per share on revenue of $433.31 million, while analysts had forecast a loss of 16 cents per share on revenue of $421.91 million. CIEN also forecast Q2 revenue of $415 to $435 million, below analysts' forecasts of $438.5 million. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on CIEN.

This morning, CIEN opened at $27.60. So far today the stock has hit a high of $28.38 and a low of $25.49. As of 12:10, CIEN is trading at $25.25, down $3.56 (-12.4%). The chart for CIEN looks neutral and S&P gives CIEN a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Ciena Tumbles on Weak Q2 Forecast

Apple Unveils iPad 2

It's like being at a Broadway show waiting for the curtain to rise. You've heard that the star is ill and may not be in this performance. You look at the playbill to see who will fill in. And now the show begins.

No, it's not Broadway, it's Apple's (AAPL) new iPad. The same anticipation was there. Participants were wondering if Steve Jobs will appear on stage or whether Tim Cook, the man who runs the company in Jobs's absence, will be in this performance. And voila! On Wednesday, the star of the show, Steve Jobs appeared with resounding applause to introduce the new iPad.

Continue reading Apple Unveils iPad 2

Oil and Natural Gas: The Anomaly Continues

If, as an investor, you're surprised by the ongoing anomaly in the oil/natural gas relationship, you're not the only one.

The background: Oil historically trades at about 8 times the price of natural gas. Currently it's trading at 25.8 times natural gas. About three months ago, the ratio was 20.

In late Tuesday afternoon trading, oil (West Texas Intermediate) was up $3.60 to $100.578 per barrel, while natural gas was down 16 cents to $3.88 per million British thermal units (MMBtu).

Continue reading Oil and Natural Gas: The Anomaly Continues

JPMorgan Chase Ups Forecasts for Tablet Sales

When it comes to picking trends, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) has nailed the latest market to experience explosive growth. It is the fast-growing tablet market, as reported in Reuters.

Morgan's analyst, Mark Moskowitz, has upped his forecasts for tablet sales in 2011 and 2012. For 2011 he raised his numbers from $24.9 to $26.1 billion. For 2012 his numbers are increased from $34.1 billion to $35.2 billion. Unit sales were upped by over 1 million to 48.1 in 2011 and 79.6 in 2012.

Continue reading JPMorgan Chase Ups Forecasts for Tablet Sales

AutoZone Fiscal Q2 Earnings Preview

Autozone Earnings PreviewThe earnings season is winding to a close, but there are still some big names left to report, including AutoZone Inc. (AZO), which will report its fiscal second quarter results before the market opens on Tuesday.

Going into tomorrow's earnings report, analysts are expecting to see Autozone announce earnings of $3.06 per share. During the same period last year the company had earnings of $2.46.

Continue reading AutoZone Fiscal Q2 Earnings Preview

Week in Preview: Unemployment Rate, Retail Earnings, Bernanke Testimony

earnings expectationsThis week we turn the calendar page, and that change brings with it a raft of economic data. Scheduled for release on Monday are pending home sales and personal income numbers for January, as well as the Chicago PMI and car and truck sales data for February.

On Tuesday, look for the ISM Manufacturing Index for February and construction spending numbers for January. That's followed on Wednesday by the week's first employment data: the Challenger Job-Cuts announcement and the ADP employment report for February. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will deliver his semiannual monetary policy testimony before Congress on both days.

Continue reading Week in Preview: Unemployment Rate, Retail Earnings, Bernanke Testimony

Ray of Light: Fed Sees Adequate U.S. GDP Growth for 2011-2013

Federal ReserveThe most recent datapoint of significance for investors has to be the U.S. Federal Reserve's revised summary of economic projections.

The Fed now sees a stronger U.S. economy in 2011, with the world's largest and most technologically advanced economy expected to grow 3.4% to 3.9%, up from the 3.0% to 3.6% November projection.

The Fed also expects the U.S. economy to grow 3.5% to 4.4% in 2012 and 3.7% to 4.6% in 2013, compared to the November estimates of 3.6% to 4.5% and 3.5% to 4.6%, respectively.

Continue reading Ray of Light: Fed Sees Adequate U.S. GDP Growth for 2011-2013

Chico's FAS Soars Despite Earnings Miss

Chico's (CHS) logoShares of women's clothing retailer Chico's FAS Inc. (CHS) traded sharply higher Wednesday morning, despite missing its earnings estimate by one penny before the market opened.

Going into this fourth-quarter earnings report, analysts had been expecting to see earnings of $0.13 per share, but the company came up a bit shy at just $0.12.

Continue reading Chico's FAS Soars Despite Earnings Miss

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DJIA-73.1112,369.38
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S&P 500-9.641,295.22

Last updated: May 21, 2012: 12:37 AM

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