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Video Game Sales Continue Decline

Video games are clearly one of the biggest multi-decade trends. Even Best Buy (BBY) has redesigned its floor plan to heavily focus on videogames, and also recently got into the used game business to compete with juggernaut GameStop (GME).

Despite the macro tailwinds, video games are a cyclical sector that depend on the lifecycle of a console as well as game release schedules. This year, the sector has particularly struggled as a result of weaker games and investor fears that mobile games will eat into demand for console games.

Continue reading Video Game Sales Continue Decline

Take-Two Interactive: Buy or Sell?

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), whose competitors in the video-game industry include Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (ERTS), is doing good business with its Red Dead Redemption title. But is that enough to make you want to buy the stock?

According to the AP, the game sold 1.5 million copies in the month of May. That's relatively impressive, but it unfortunately did not meet the expectations of Michael Pachter, who is an analyst for Wedbush Morgan. He was thinking 1.8 million copies was doable. Even so, you have to hand it to management for a robust launch.

Continue reading Take-Two Interactive: Buy or Sell?

Take-Two Interactive Bounces Back with Adjusted Q2 Profit

Take Two Interactive TTWO logoTake-Two Interactive Software Inc. (TTWO), whose competitors include Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI) and Electronic Arts, Inc. (ERTS), has traded in a narrow range over the last twelve months. The 52-week low on the stock is an even $7; the 52-week high is $12.57. The stock closed Tuesday's session at $10.52. After the bell, the video-game publisher reported results for the second quarter. Shareholders can be thankful that the bottom line experienced a significant improvement.

On an adjusted basis, the company made 34 cents per share from continuing operations versus a loss of 4 cents per share from continuing operations in the year-ago period. Net revenue jumped over 50%.

Continue reading Take-Two Interactive Bounces Back with Adjusted Q2 Profit

Electronic Arts: Buy Now or Wait?

It's a tough trading and investing environment out there. But you've got to hang equally as tough and start processing as many stocks that are at or near 52-week lows as you can. Sure, you might be early, but then again, who can predict with any certainty where the market is heading? I know I can't.

Electronic Arts (ERTS) is not my favorite video-game company. That honor goes to Activision Blizzard (ATVI). Nevertheless, here's something of note: it closed Monday's session at $15.36. This after hitting a new 52-week low of $15.34 during intraday activities. Volume was about average.

Continue reading Electronic Arts: Buy Now or Wait?

Not the Time for Shanda Interactive?

I was wrong about Shanda Interactive (SNDA) back in December. The Chinese electronic media entity didn't do so well after I expressed a positive comment on the business. But what about now?

Well, according to TheFly, the company's adjusted Q1 net profit missed the analyst call. Shanda made 58 cents per American Depositary Share (ADS) versus an expectation of 65 cents per ADS. Pretty disappointing. As is the fact that the ADSs are not in the midst of a strong period. Right now, they're priced at roughly $43. The 52-week high is an even $65.

Continue reading Not the Time for Shanda Interactive?

Electronic Arts in the Red: Is Stock a Value?

Electronic Arts (ERTS), a video-game publisher that competes with Activision Blizzard (ATVI), THQ (THQI), and Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), is being sold off as I write this during the afternoon session. Shares of EA are down $1.16, or over 6%, to $17.64. Volume? It's up there.

As we all know, EA has had its share of problems in coping with the slowdown seen in the growth of the gaming console industry. In addition, internal challenges have plagued the company's business model. The one-year chart is not a convincing graphic; if anything, it tells you to stay away.

Continue reading Electronic Arts in the Red: Is Stock a Value?

Before the Bell: Futures Drop on Lingering Concerns Over Europe

U.S. stock futures fell sharply Tuesday, a day after a massive relief rally washed over Wall Street and global stocks. But despite the nearly $1 trillion rescue package the European Union announced Monday, doubts remain on how Greece will cut its budget deficit. Meanwhile, as investors awaited inventories data, they also digested news of rising prices in China.

World stocks and the euro fell Tuesday. In Europe, major indices were down some 1.5% and the euro also gave up most of its recent days' gains. Concerns that the European Central Bank might lose some of its independence because of its new role in sweeping up government bonds. Also, it's moving in reverse direction -- expansionary monetary policy -- than other central banks that start to normalize it.

Continue reading Before the Bell: Futures Drop on Lingering Concerns Over Europe

Should You Speculate on THQ?

THQ (THQI) has been an interesting stock. The video-game publisher continues to remain in the land of single-digit equities. It used to be a powerful investment vehicle several years ago, but now it unfortunately is an entity more prone to speculative analysis. Will it be taken over? Will a new hit emerge from its pipeline? Will the turnaround effort finally cause all the institutions on Wall Street to buy?

Over the last twelve months, the company has traded in a 52-week range between $4.12 and $9.03. The one-year chart illustrates the rocky road management has traveled in its efforts to get back on track. How does the stock look now that fiscal Q4 numbers have been released?

Continue reading Should You Speculate on THQ?

Can You Buy Activision Blizzard After Q1 Report?

I'll be honest: the thought of buying Activision Blizzard (ATVI) makes me nervous. First, buying just about any stock right now involves a leap of faith: I mean, how do you know the selling hasn't just begun? Investors are scared, my friends, because of macro issues. However, the second reason I'm hesitant about the software publisher is simply because of the video-game industry itself; the latest console cycle is aging, and the industry is waiting for further catalysts to emerge to make the sector an unambiguous buy once again.

Yet, this company is probably the best out there in terms of what it does. Its pipeline is solid, although not as good as it was. Remember Guitar Hero? What, you've already started to forget? And what about DJ Hero? Did that come and go in the blink of an eye?

Continue reading Can You Buy Activision Blizzard After Q1 Report?

Don't Expect Much Upside for Video Game Stocks

It's easy these days to get excited about video game stocks. But investors should beware: Not everything is what it seems.

Part of the recent enthusiasm around video game stocks comes from game maker Activision's (ATVI) announcement on Thursday that it was raising its guidance for its Q1 results, which will be released on May 6. The company expects earnings of 72 cents per share, up from its earlier forecast of 70 cents per share. Shares were up nearly 4% on the news and the stock is up about 19% for the year.

Nintendo is also the source of some intrigue as it pushes ahead with ambitious plans to bring video games to the classroom and to implement 3D video game technology. Plus, the company is rolling out a souped-up DSi video game console with a bigger screen.

Continue reading Don't Expect Much Upside for Video Game Stocks

Activision Blizzard's Interesting Price Action

We all talk about the fundamentals behind an investment idea, but sometimes you have to pay more attention to the observed price action. That's what I was thinking today while checking out Activision Blizzard (ATVI).

I have been watching this publisher of entertainment software closely as of late, wondering if it was time for me to get back in. Compared to other similar companies such as Electronic Arts (ERTS) and Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), I think Activision Blizzard offers the best potential for both the console market and online gaming.

Continue reading Activision Blizzard's Interesting Price Action

March Video Game Sales Could Level Up Nintendo, Sony and Others

After a disappointing February video game sales report, many analyst insiders are predicting a strong month in March for top video game stocks Electronic Arts (ERTS), Nintendo (NTDOY), Sony (SNE) and Take Two Interactive (TTWO).

The biggest reason is simply because the bar is set pretty low. March 2009 video game sales were down 17% when up against 2008 numbers, and unless the data gets seriously skewed we should see an organic rebound in numbers just from that low. If you'll recall, March 2009 was pretty bad on all fronts -- the economy shed 650,000 jobs, stocks hit a 12-year low, and there was a -6% contraction in GDP for the first quarter of 2009.

With lower expectations, the video game industry may win a reprieve when the March numbers roll out. But on top of those low expectations, a new Nintendo console and a few blockbuster titles should result in decent sales for the industry.

Continue reading March Video Game Sales Could Level Up Nintendo, Sony and Others

Stocks on My Watch List: ATVI, LGF, NTDOY, WWE

We all have our watch lists. I'm no different. Here are four companies that I monitor almost every single day, and a brief opinion on each of them.

Activision Blizzard (ATVI): I sold this one back in January. Some believe I was wrong to do so. I definitely comprehend the sentiment, because really, this is the best publisher in the sector. Compared to Electronic Arts (ERTS) and Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), Activision Blizzard has an enviable pipeline. Unfortunately, the video-game industry isn't firing on all cylinders; check out the most recent monthly-sales report, and you'll see what I mean. In addition, the company's Guitar Hero franchise isn't the fad it once was. I do want to get in on the stock again, though; lately, the price seems to be perking up. I'm not ready to send in the buy order just yet. I'm waiting for further strength to materialize in the shares.

Continue reading Stocks on My Watch List: ATVI, LGF, NTDOY, WWE

Take-Two Trading Higher After Q1 Results: Is Stock a Buy?

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is the kind of stock I want to take a chance on but just can't bring myself to do so. The situation can be risky unless a fresh bit of Grand Theft Auto content is about to come out into the marketplace. Then again, those who bought ahead of the Q1 earnings report, released yesterday after the bell, are pretty overjoyed this afternoon, seeing that the stock is, at the time of this writing anyway, up well over 9%.

Net sales increased 9%. The adjusted loss from continuing operations was 31 cents per share. Last year at this time, shareholders were looking at a loss of 56 cents per share on the same basis. Reuters says the analyst call was for the red ink to equal 51 cents per share. Good job, management.

Continue reading Take-Two Trading Higher After Q1 Results: Is Stock a Buy?

Zynga Valuation Said to Top $3 Billion

Are you still suspicious of the $6.5 billion Facebook valuation that resulted from Digital Sky's $100 million investment last July? And doubtless, the $15 billion valuation implied by Microsoft's (MSFT) 2007 investment in the company was, to say the least, aspirational. Well, the insanity is continuing to mount – throughout the Facebook ecosystem. A recent report by Global Silicon Valley Partner's NeXt Up Research organization puts the price tag of Zinga, the Facebook application developer, at a whopping $3.3 billion ... half of Facebook's!

Granted, Zynga has done a few things to wow social media market-wachers and investors. NeXt Up Research forecasts 35% growth for this company over the next four years and just upped its 2014 revenue projection to $1.1 billion. The previous estimate was only $460 million. What could possibly justify these numbers? Well, Zynga has grown from 30 million users to 230 million in only 10 months, largely as a result of the strength shown by Facebook over this period. Farmville has been the company's engine, with close to 80 million monthly active users.

Continue reading Zynga Valuation Said to Top $3 Billion

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Last updated: May 21, 2012: 12:30 AM

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