Michael Rainey
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So how much is bailout czar Neel Kashkari getting paid?
Our introduction to the Treasury Department official in charge of the $700 billion bailout fund -- Who will spend our $700 billion? Meet 35-year-old Neel Kashkari -- generated a lot of interest and commentary. Many of the comments have been negative and cover a wide range of fear and loathing, from cracks about Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) running the country and stealing all the money, to insults directed at Kashkari's lack of hair and ethnic background. (For the record, his family is from India, not Iran, and Neel is apparently a Hindu name, not a Muslim one, although I haven't found any definitive proof of his religious background.)
Looking around the web, I found lots of talk about Kashkari, including one curious comment at Huffington Post that Kashkari has a special arrangement with respect to his salary. Somehow, according to this commentator, Goldman Sachs is paying him billions of dollars to do his job. He will supposedly collect these riches when he steps down, presumably after having rendered super-secret services to the financial oligarchs who apparently own our country.
The writer of the comment offered no proof, and I have to admit that I'm a little skeptical (about the salary, not the oligarchy). But it did get me thinking about how much government officials are being paid to handle all this bailout money.
According to this Bloomberg report, Kashkari earned $738,000 in salary and bonus at Goldman before joining his former boss Hank Paulson at Treasury in July 2006. His title is now Assistant Secretary (Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Financial Stability and Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for International Economics and Development, to be precise) and he is, obviously, a federal employee now. So he must earn the standard salary for an Assistant Secretary.
Continue reading So how much is bailout czar Neel Kashkari getting paid?
Car Biz: Detroit to world: Buddy, can you spare a billion?
This is part of a weekly series about the car business. The auto industry plays an important role in the global economy, and record-high oil prices and a global slowdown have contributed to a crisis in the sector. This column will highlight some of the interesting stories that emerge as that crisis plays out.
"These are truly unimaginable times for our industry."
Thanks to Bob Nardelli (and our pals at Autoblog) for a quote that captures the state of the American automotive industry. Who could have imagined just a few years ago, when Detroit was still raking in the profits selling fancy pickup trucks in a booming, bubbly economy, that the big American auto companies would have to go begging in the halls of Congress for a few billion dollars just to survive?The quote comes from an email Nardelli recently sent to Chrysler employees, in which he announced that 25% of the company's salaried employees would be let go before the end of the year. Of course, the job cuts aren't referred to as such. Instead, in perfect corporate-speak, the cuts are called "right-sizing" -- "Working as a team, we have been right-sizing our organization to become as competitive as possible."
Detroit is right-sizing at a furious pace. General Motors (NYSE: GM) announced that it will cut 15% of its salaried workforce -- almost 5,000 people -- and then warned that it will need to get rid of even more. Equally grim, GM has stopped paying into existing employees' retirement funds.
The much-discussed GM-Chrysler merger would also result in some pretty serious right-sizing. Some estimate that Chrysler would fire at least half of its blue collar workforce of 66,000, on top of the 25% of its white collar workforce of 18,000.
Meanwhile, Ford (NYSE: F) is rumored to be considering selling its 33% share in Mazda. This seems particularly short-sighted, given that Ford will likely get only $600 million or so for its share in the company, which it has owned since 1979. Ford needs all the small car technology and expertise it can get as Americans continue to turn away from trucks and SUVs.
The bottom line is that the Big Three are getting desperate as they burn through billions in cash with no relief in sight. And they'll do just about anything -- mergers, spin-offs, massive down-sizing, foreign investment, government bailout -- to stay alive.
Freeport-McMoRan profit drops 33% as copper prices plunge
Falling copper prices hurt Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) in the third quarter, the company announced today. Profits were down 33% as net income slipped from $775 million in the third quarter a year ago to $523 this year. Profits were a $1.42 a share (excluding one-time items), falling short of the $1.45 expected by analysts.
The stock is down about 5% in trading as of 3 pm, to $34.85.
An analyst quoted on Bloomberg, Kerry Smith of Haywood Securities Inc. in Toronto, said that while lower copper prices won't force the company to close mines immediately, it could do so if copper prices stay low or even keep falling over the next few months. The cost of operating mines has been rising, and Freeport may close higher-cost mines in the coming year if prices do not recover.
Freeport has also announced that it will suspend a stock buyback program. It had bought $500 million in stock in the third quarter at an average price of $79.15 per share, more than twice the current stock price.
The market for copper is extremely unsettled right now. The big question is how severe the global economic slowdown will be, and how long it will last. A long slowdown will likely send copper prices even lower. So while some (including the irrepressible Jim Cramer) are arguing that this represents a buying opportunity, it may just be a point along a long downward fall.
Car Biz: What can GM and Chrysler be thinking?
This is part of a weekly series about the car business. The auto industry plays an important role in the global economy, and record-high oil prices and a global slowdown have contributed to a crisis in the sector. This column will highlight some of the interesting stories that emerge as that crisis plays out.
Last week, I suggested that the auto industry was ripe for consolidation (Car Biz: Look out below!). The very next day the potential merger between General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Chrysler hit the news.
I can't claim that I'm clairvoyant. I just read the news like everybody else. And overcapacity is old news in the car business. Even in good times, there are too many factories producing too many cars and trucks for too few consumers who can afford them. Some estimates put overcapacity in the industry in the tens of millions of vehicles per year. The burgeoning recession just makes this basic fact impossible to ignore any longer.
Now Chrysler CEO Bob Nardelli is joining the chorus. He recently said that the rapid and dramatic decline of sales in the American auto market "certainly creates an environment for consolidation." He also spoke about "synergies of productivity" but of course he has to say that. CEOs involved in merger talks always talk about 'synergies' even though they are rarely generated in practice.
Continue reading Car Biz: What can GM and Chrysler be thinking?
Consumers pull back, driving retail sales down sharply
Retail sales fell 1.2% in September, a much larger drop than the 0.7% expected by economists. The numbers were released today by the Commerce Department in its "Advanced Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services" report. The drop refers to month-to-moth data. Comparing year-to-year data, retail sales were down 1% from September 2007.
Plummeting auto sales were a big factor in the decline. But even when those numbers are factored out, sales were still down 0.6%, three times the expected 0.2%.
According to Scott Hoyt, senior director of consumer economics at Moody's economy.com, the numbers indicate that consumers spent less on just about everything except essentials like fuel and healthcare.
The numbers make it pretty clear that as far as consumers are concerned, the recession is already here and getting worse.
Former Sovereign Bank CEO: Activist investors destroyed value
The terms of the deal were quite favorable for the Spanish bank. Santander's original minority stake cost over $2 billion. But Sovereign has lost over 80% of its value in the last year, and this dramatic decline allowed Santander to pick up the rest of the bank at a pretty good discount.
That decline did not go unnoticed by former Sovereign CEO Jay Sidhu, who blasted the policies of his successors in an interview with the Philadelphia Business Journal. He charged that the activist investors who engineered his departure in 2006 are responsible for the bank's decline and unfavorable acquisition. He cited Ralph Whitworth of Relational Investors in particular, saying that Whitworth's "strategy was totally dead wrong." In particular, Sidhu charged, Whitworth made changes in the bank's risk management procedures that ultimately led to the bank's decline: "Every single action taken under his leadership of the risk management committee destroyed value. You need a long-term view with prudent risk-management strategies and not the short-term view of a hedge fund manager."
This charge has a familiar ring. Short term profits replaced long run viability -- something that happened throughout the banking industry. And Sidhu knows what he's talking about. In 20 years, he took Sovereign from an IPO worth $12 million to a banking giant worth $12 billion in 2006. Too bad the Sidhus of the world lost out to the Whitworths; we're certainly paying for those losses now.
Daimler to kill Sterling truck brand, cut 3,500 jobs
Though our attention has been on the hair-raising problems in the financial sector over the last few weeks, the important (and ultimately deeply related) story about job loss in the American industrial sector needs at least as much attention. Today, another producer of actual things (rather than just inflationary paper) announced the elimination of thousands of jobs. Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) said that it will terminate Sterling Trucks, which accounts for 15% of Daimler's truck sales in North America. Daimler is the world's largest producer of heavy vehicles.
Sterling is a subsidiary of Freightliner, the largest heavy truck manufacturer in the U.S., which Daimler has owned since 1981. Originally Ford Motor's (NYSE: F) heavy truck division, Ford/Sterling was bought and re-branded as Sterling in 1997.
Daimler stated that Sterling had never met expectations, and that the ongoing recession made it clear that the division needed to be put out of its misery. Plants in Portland, Oregon and St. Thomas, Ontario will be closed, resulting in the loss of 3,500 manufacturing jobs. Daimler stated that it will proceed with the planned opening of new Freightliner plant in Mexico.
While there's no doubt that there is excess capacity in the truck-making industry and that the elimination of manufacturing plants is economically rational, Daimler's move raises once again the larger question of the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. As many critics have argued, the ongoing loss of high-paying manufacturing jobs -- a process that has been going on for years -- will make it that much harder for the American economy to recover.
Pepsi to slash jobs, lowers forecast
I guess people aren't drowning their financial sorrows with cola. And now PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP) shareholders have plenty to be sorry about.
The perennial silver medal winner in the great cola olympics announced weaker than expected sales in North America for the third quarter. Sales were down by 3% and profits down by 9% as consumers presumably reacted to worsening economic conditions by cutting back on everyday luxuries like sugar water in its myriad forms.
In response to the poor results, PepsiCo announced that it will cut 3,300 jobs from its global workforce of 185,000. It will also close six plants. Savings from the cuts and closings were estimated to be $1.2 billion over three years.
Pepsi also said that it will get back to the basics of selling relatively inexpensive bubbly soda to consumers. This is a reversal of its recent emphasis on more expensive juices and energy drinks. As the economy worsens, consumers will presumably cut back on such items.
PepsiCo closed yesterday at $61.77 and is trading at $56.13 as of 1:10 pm, down 9%.
Car Biz: Look out below!
This is part of a weekly series about the car business. The auto industry plays an important role in the global economy, and record-high oil prices and a global slowdown have contributed to a crisis in the sector. This column will highlight some of the interesting stories that emerge as that crisis plays out.
And I thought things looked bad last week (Car Biz: Dark days in Detroit and beyond). The skies do indeed look dark in Detroit and the auto industry as a whole. But now instead of weak sales and slow growth, we are looking at plummeting sales and the very real possibility of bankruptcy and further consolidation throughout the industry.
Today, an S&P analyst quoted on Bloomberg said that the Big Three could face bankruptcy as macroeconomic factors "overwhelm them." This follows yesterday's comment from S&P that debt from GM and Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) may have to be downgraded again, even deeper into junk status.
GM has replied to S&P's comments, saying that while it does indeed face "unprecedented challenges," it does not consider bankruptcy an option at this time. But then again, what else are they going to say?
Continue reading Car Biz: Look out below!
Before the Bell: Futures look bullish on rate cuts, new bank plan, IBM results
Stock futures in the U.S. are up this morning, indicating a potentially strong opening for the financial markets.While volatility is likely to remain high, positive futures suggest that the co-ordinated rate cuts by central banks are having the intended effect. European markets have moved higher, with the FTSE 100 and DAX up over 1%.
Markets may also be buoyed by reports that the U.S. Treasury is considering taking an ownership stake in major banks. This follows the announcement of a similar plan in Great Britain. The plan, which amounts to a partial (and voluntary) nationalization of the banks, seems to be generating more enthusiasm and confidence than the vague $700 billion bailout already approved by Congress.
Additional positive news came from International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), which released preliminary third quarter results above analyst estimates. The stock is up 4.6% to $94.76 in pre-market trading. Sales were down, but the company showed impressive results nonetheless, suggesting that other large tech firms may be able to weather the global slowdown.
Analysts will be focused on weekly jobless claims and August wholesale inventory reports for further clues about the state of the economy. The end of the ban on short selling may act as another market catalyst.
Who will spend our $700 billion? Meet 35-year-old Neel Kashkari
His name is not exactly familiar and his official title is a bit much -- Interim Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Financial Stability and Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for International Economics and Development -- but 35-year-old Neel Kashkari is now one of the most powerful people in the global economy. As the head of the new Office of Financial Stability, it's his job to start spending the $700 billion Congress approved to stabilize the financial system. As some commentators enjoy pointing out, Kashkari is a former rocket scientist, having earned Bachelor's and Master's degree in engineering from the University of Illinois and worked as a mechanical engineer at TRW, where he developed latches for the the Next Generation Space Telescope. He left engineering for finance, parlaying an MBA from Wharton into a gig at Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), where he rose to Vice President, specializing in information technology investment banking.
So there's little doubt that he's a smart and hard-working guy. And in the current administration, that's a great accomplishment.
But the question isn't whether Kashkari is smart. The question is whether he has any idea how to use all that money to stabilize the global financial markets. And a quote from Kashkari I dug up does not inspire confidence. In September, at the right-wing American Enterprise Institute, Kashkari reportedly declared, "I'm a free-market Republican."
It's no surprise, of course, that a Bush administration official would describe himself as a free-market Republican. But it does suggest that Kashkari may have trouble figuring out how to restore confidence in those supposedly free markets.
Continue reading Who will spend our $700 billion? Meet 35-year-old Neel Kashkari
Google drops to $25 a share?!
Shares in Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) went on a wild ride late yesterday. By some reports, the stock fell as low as $25 per share just before the close of trading. Other sources say it went to penny! Either the company is in far worse shape than anyone realized or something isn't quite right at NASDAQ.
Of course, the stock wasn't really in that much trouble. It turns out that a trader sent an unusually large number of orders at 3:57 pm, and this caused the stock price to move wildly, both high and low. A NASDAQ spokesman said, "A market participant sent in a large number of orders and drove the price down at approximately [3:57 p.m. ET] which caused the bid-offer to be artificially low due to their mistake."
Was it a mistake or a diabolical plot? No word on the trader's motivation. But all trades above $425.29 and below $400.25 will be canceled. The stock's closing price was reset to $400.52.
Not everyone seems to have gotten the message though. Today, at 2 pm, Google is trading at $413.35. Google Finance shows this as a 3.3% gain on the day. However, other sites show the same price but report the gain at nearly 30%. I assume that will adjusted too.
Car Biz: Dark days in Detroit and beyond
This is part of a weekly series about the car business. The auto industry plays an important role in the global economy, and record-high oil prices and a global slowdown have contributed to a crisis in the sector. This column will highlight some of the interesting stories that emerge as that crisis plays out.
September car sales reports are due this week, and no one in the auto industry is looking forward to the monthly numbers, especially no one in Detroit.
Expectations are that car sales will be lower once again. According to analysts quoted at Bloomberg, sales at General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Ford (NYSE: F) will be down over 20%, while sales at Chrysler will be down over 30% from last year. Japanese producers also are expected to see lower sales, with the Japanese Big Three Toyota (NYSE:TM), Honda (NYSE: HMC) and Nissan (NASDAQ: NSANY) all down in the 20% range.
The industry is sliding down toward the magic number of one million cars sold in the U.S. for the month. The last time fewer than a million cars were sold in a month was February 1993.
Continue reading Car Biz: Dark days in Detroit and beyond
Is the bailout 'socialist'? Not even close
There's been a lot of talk about how the proposed bank bailout is somehow socialist. Senator Jim Bunning recently said that the bailout is "financial socialism," as well as just being plain old "un-American." Congressman Ron Paul has made similar statements, and some of the bloggers here at BloggingStocks have joined in the chorus as well (here and here). Now, I understand that the bailout violates the much loved principles of 'free markets' and 'democratic capitalism', but we can't let this violation muddy the meaning and history of different economic forms. In the long history of capitalism, socialism has represented an alternative that fundamentally challenges the capitalist structure of political and economic power. This bailout does no such thing.
If the bailout were truly socialist, it would result in long-term state ownership of the banking industry. No such option is on the table. Even getting a minority, non-controlling interest in the banks in return for the massive public investment has been controversial and thus far impossible.
Socialism has a long and complicated and even contradictory history. But the basic principle is pretty clear: economic activity should benefit all citizens and not just a small upper class. Accordingly, in a socialist state, major industries should be publicly owned and wealth should be shared. There are plenty of examples of socialism in action, including the state-owned industries in much of Europe after World War Two, as well as the fairly weak political forms of the welfare state in the U.S., including the Social Security system.
Continue reading Is the bailout 'socialist'? Not even close
Car Biz: GM abandons the Super Bowl
This is the first in a weekly series about the car business. The auto industry plays an important role in the global economy, but record-high oil prices and a global slowdown have created a crisis in the sector. This column will highlight some of the interesting stories that emerge as that crisis plays out.Sure, the economy is in the tank and the stock market is teetering on the edge of a very steep cliff. But the severity of the situation really hit home with shocking news about a beloved secular American feast day: General Motors (NYSE:GM) announced this week that it will not buy ad time during the 2009 Super Bowl (that's Super Bowl XLIII for all you Roman numeral lovers).
It seems that it was just yesterday that GM was promoting the new 2007 Cadillac Escalade at Super Bowl XL. Sales of the Escalade -- perhaps the most over-the-top of the gigantic SUVs that so many Americans fell in love with -- had been falling, and GM hoped to recapture consumers' bling-addled imaginations with a shiny new model displayed, appropriately enough, on a fashion runway. It was not to be, though, as Escalade sales continued to fall.
And who can forget GM's adorable suicide robot ad from Super Bowl XLI? Some stick-in-the-muds found it a bit insensitive, but it did get people talking. It did not, however, help GM increase its sales.
And that's the basic problem. Critics have long argued that GM relies too heavily on cheap redesigns and flashy advertising to sell cars, rather than focusing on good engineering and construction. The fact that GM is bailing out on the biggest advertising day in the media calendar suggests just how desperate it is. Maybe it has learned the lesson that you can't sell cars no one wants, no matter how much you spend on advertising. Let's hope that the money saved on Super Bowl ads is spent on making cars that can compete with Toyota (NYSE:TM) and Honda (NYSE: HMC).
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