Posted Jul 24th 2008 4:14PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon.com (AMZN), Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), QUALCOMM Inc (QCOM), Level 3 Communications (LVLT)
If you were getting used to the bulls running the show, the bears whispers of "Remember us?" turned much louder today. If you were looking for the day we finally got profit taking after a monster rise in financial stocks, it came. Weak housing data was said to be one of the key issues for the market, but the more than 400,000 weekly jobless claims filed was much worse than expected. Oil didn't skyrocket but it did at least catch a bid today and oil was back up to over $125.00 per barrel late in the day. If you want a big figure, PIMCO's Bill Gross said that total financial
writedowns could see $1 Trillion.
Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11354.49 (-277.89)
S&P500 1253.12 (-29.07)
NASDAQ 2280.11 (-45.77)
10YR T-NOTE 4.016% (-0.132%)
52-WEEK LOWSTOP ANALYST UPGRADES
TOP ANALYST DOWNGRADESAmazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:
AMZN) saw a mega-surge after the market decided that its above estimate earnings and somewhat conservative guidance was to match the environment rather than to be any red flag. Shares were up a sharp in today's final minutes.
Continue reading Closing Bell: Profit taking inside a tornado
Posted Jul 23rd 2008 4:21PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: After the bell, Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Market matters, AT and T (T), Bank of America (BAC), Costco Wholesale (COST)
Today we saw another market gain, but several key stocks gave back some recent gains. The oil inventories report as well as reports Hurricane Dolly only took down a max of 8% of Gulf of Mexico and nearby production, helped lower oil prices over $3.00 to under $125.00 per barrel. Today was rather light on the economic front so the market was led higher mostly thanks to earnings from DJIA components. Longer-term rates rose on Fed comments today calling for rates to rise sooner rather than later, although that was independent and slightly different than the actual Beige Book comments.
Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11632.70 (+30.30)
S&P500 1282.05 (+5.05)
NASDAQ 2325.88 (+21.92))
10YR T-Note 4.148 (+0.05%)
TOP ANALYST UPGRADESTOP ANALYST DOWNGRADES52-WEEK LOWSAT&T Inc. (NYSE:
T) was the
winner of DJIA components after reporting earnings this morning, particularly since it has lost nearly one-third of its value. Shares were up 4% at $33.11 in today's final minutes.
Continue reading Closing Bell: Earnings keep gains coming
Posted Jul 22nd 2008 4:16PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: Apple Inc (AAPL), Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Caterpillar (CAT), American Express (AXP), Wachovia Corp (WB), UAL Corp (UAUA)
Hank Paulson led the charge this morning talking about the need and credibility of the GSE's. Oil was up for a while but after Tropical Storm Dolly headed further south than the oil and gas infrastructure that locked in heavy oil selling. The major focus continues to be earnings and financial stocks in particular. Below are today's
unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11601.60 (+134.26)
S&P500 1276.80 (+16.80)
NASDAQ 2303.96 (+24.43)
10YR T-Note 4.097 (+0.03%)
52-Week Lows
Top Analyst CallsAmerican Express Company (NYSE:
AXP) was one of the more poor financial stocks today after the company
choked on earnings last night. It is also facing deteriorating business despite it being thought of as the highest quality credit card around. Shares were down 9.2% at $37.13 in today's final minutes.
Continue reading Closing Bell: Market defies cautious earnings
Posted Jul 21st 2008 4:14PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: Yahoo! (YHOO), Bank of America (BAC), Whole Foods Market (WFMI), Merck and Co (MRK), Genentech Inc (DNA)
Today was light on the economic front as far as impact numbers. The June leading economic indicators were down at -0.1%, and the May gain of +0.1% was revised lower to -0.2%. This shows little argument for a strengthening economy. Oil showed how it can still rise as tropical storm Dolly is in the Gulf of Mexico and no deal was reached with Iran, with prices back above $131.00 per barrel. Today was looking like a gain at the start, but the market slid as the day went on.
Below are today's unofficial closing bell index levels:
DJIA 11.467.67 (-28.90)
S&P 500 1259.72 (-0.96)
NASDAQ 2279.69 (-3.09)
10 YR T-NOTE 4.067% (-0.014%)
52-WEEK LOWSTop Analyst Calls Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:
BAC) showed a more than 4.6% gain at $28.80 in today's final minutes after the earnings report this morning came in far above lowered expectations. This stock is now up over 50% in a few days.
Continue reading Closing Bell: Bank earnings and major biotech fail to win over oil and profit taking
Posted Jul 18th 2008 4:13PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Apple Inc (AAPL), Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Citigroup Inc. (C)
Today might have been one of the more boring options expiration dates. If you pretend that technology stocks weren't a part of the market, today was rather stable considering the major bounces we have seen. Oil stayed under $129.00 per barrel, which didn't give the bears much meat to chew on. We had essentially no government economic data today. Here are today's unofficial closing levels:
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:
AAPL) is set report earnings after the close of trading. Read a
FULL EARNINGS PREVIEW. Shares of Apple were down over 3% at $166.10 in today's final minutes of trading.
Continue reading Closing Bell: Great recovery continues, except for tech
Posted Jul 17th 2008 4:01PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: eBay (EBAY), Nokia Corp. (NOK), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), ValueClick Inc (VCLK)
The bulls have scored another coup and laid the bears out on the streets just like it was
Pamplona. Yep, there's no "Running of the Bears" after all. Oil rolled over for a third day and a more than $4.00 drop took oil futures back under $130.00. Financial stocks again lead the way on earnings and on a government mandated short squeeze. This may just be the start, or it could just be sharp short covering in stocks. One thing is for sure, there's plenty of good news and bad news to argue about.
Below are the unofficial closing bell levels for major index levels:
DJIA 11,429.48 +190.20 +1.69%
S&P 500 1,258.50 +13.14 +1.06%
NASDAQ 2,312.00 +27.15 +1.19%
10YR T-NOTE 4.038% (+0.104%)
52-WEEK LOWS
Top Analyst Upgrades Top Analyst DowngradeseBay Inc. (NASDAQ:
EBAY) was one of the losers today after the company posted $0.43 EPS (non-GAAP) and $2.2 Billion in revenues, but mixed guidance ahead took shares of the online auction giant down by over 14% by the end of today in the final minutes to a 52-week low of $24.12.
Continue reading Closing Bell: Bears and oil traders trampled in Pamplona
Posted Jul 16th 2008 4:18PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: After the bell, Major movement, Earnings reports, Intel (INTC), AMR Corp (AMR), Wells Fargo (WFC)
Today was a clear win for the bulls, although the bears aren't forgotten by any measure.
Oil fell another $4.00 today and to around $134/barrel. The CPI report also came in less timid than some PPI watchers were expecting, although it is still very high. Today's rally is probably more attributable to pricing action in banking and transportation stocks. Even the stodgy
FOMC minutes didn't hurt today.
Below are the unofficial closing bell levels for index levels today:
DJIA 11240.02 (+277.48)
S&P500 1244.98 (+30.07)
NASDAQ 2284.85 (+69.14)
10YR T-Note 3.934 (+0.09%)
52-Week Lows
Top Analyst UpgradesTop Analyst DowngradesAirline earnings came out very cautiously but not as bad as many would have guessed and didn't have the ring of any immediate death sentences for the industry.
AMR Corp. (NYSE:
AMR), the parent of American Airlines, managed to post
better than expected gains before items even if its losses were near $1 billion. Its shares were up over 33% at $5.90 in today's final minutes. This may have actually been the best day ever for major airline stocks.
Continue reading Closing Bell: Bulls finally win on lower fuel and better earnings
Posted Jul 15th 2008 4:12PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: General Motors (GM), Sprint Nextel Corp (S), Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), Genentech Inc (DNA)
Today was nothing short of a wild trading day and despite the levels seen at the close it is still a toss up over whether the bulls or bears won today. Merrill Lynch has said that the
commodities cycle may have peaked in the first half of this year. It noted that the S&P/GSCI commodity index was up roughly 41% during the first half of 2008, which is the largest gain since the index inception. This may have only been one factor, but oil fell as much as $9.00 per barrel in the biggest one-day dollar drop since 1991. We did even briefly see the VIX hit that magic 30.0 reading. Below are the unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 10,961.72 (-93.47)
S&P500 1214.96 (-13.34)
NASDAQ 2215.71 (+2.84)
10YR T-Note 3.844% (-0.036%)
52-WEEK LOWS
TOP ANALYST UPGRADESTOP ANALYST DOWNGRADESGenentech, Inc. (NYSE:
DNA) rose today despite a
weak earnings report and despite it saying it was going to act like an old industrial company with a share buyback plan. Shares were up over 5% at $79.37 in todays final minutes.
Continue reading Closing Bell: A wild trading day
Posted Jul 14th 2008 4:12PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: Google (GOOG), Anheuser-Busch Cos (BUD), Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), Washington Mutual (WM)
Today would be described as being choppy disappointment at best. The markets started out strong on a government bailout proposal for GSE's but traders went right back to shorting financials on big gap ups. After today, we'll get major earnings reports coming on a non-stop basis and tomorrow we'll also start to see some key data around producer prices tomorrow morning. Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11,052.10 (-48.44)
S&P500 1,228.02 (-11.46)
NASDAQ 2,212.87 (-26.21)
10YR T-Note 3.88% (-0.06%)
52-WEEK LOWSTOP ANALYST UPGRADESTOP ANALYST DOWNGRADESAnheuser-Busch Companies, Inc. (NYSE:
BUD) saw a gain as the company finally capitulated and agreed to be acquired now that InBev boosted its buyout offer price to $70.00 from $65.00.
Continue reading Closing Bell: Bulls and GSE Bailout Plans succumb to 'Sell, Sell, Sell"
Posted Jul 9th 2008 4:14PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: After the bell, Rumors, Yahoo! (YHOO), Cisco Systems (CSCO)
Hopefully we are either getting toward the beginning of the end in this bear trend. If not, we are in for a long 2008 between presidential candidates bantering caught in a weak economy and a down trending market. The daily sell-off is hard to argue against since buying only works for a short period right now. About the best thing the bulls could hang a shingle on today was an initial flat reading seen in some index after the open. That wasn't to hold. All of the same reasons that the bulls hung on to were overrun by the same arguments the bears have been using all along.
Below are the unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11,146.30 (-238.40)
S&P500 1,244.66 (-29.04)
NASDAQ 2.234.89 (-59.55)
10YR T-Note 3.834% (-0.046%)
52-WEEK LOWSTOP ANALYST UPGRADESTOP ANALYST DOWNGRADESCisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:
CSCO) was one of the bigger losers in key technology on
two different reports causing concern on Wall Street. Shares were down over 5.3% at $21.66 in today's final minutes.
QLogic Corp. (NASDAQ:
QLGC) was a winner after it actually
raised guidance. Shares were up over 9% today in the final minutes at $15.27.
VeriSign Inc. (NASDAQ:
VRSN) was a standout winner today. Shares were raised, although there are
more questions than answers outstanding on this stock now. Shares were up 2.8% at $33.77 in today's final minutes.
Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ:
YHOO) shares were down over 2% at $24.09 despite
rumors on Jerry Yang about to resign. I called the company, and it denied such rumors right on the spot.
Posted Jul 8th 2008 4:12PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), Office Depot (ODP), EMC Corp (EMC)
Oil was down another $5.00 per barrel today, yet that failed to cause a major rally despite a $9.00 in just two days. Today's end of day rally was led by financials after an FDIC conference which led to excitement about the sector. If you were looking for any brightness in home sales, May's pending home sales came in at -4.7% year over year. We also saw wholesale inventories in May rise by +0.8%. Perhaps more interesting is that the MAY Consumer Credit rose more than expected to $7.8 Billion. Below are the unofficial closing bell levels for today:
DJIA 11,384.21 (+152.25)
S&P500 1,273.68 (+21.37)
NASDAQ 2,294.42 (+51.10)
10YR T-Note 3.88% (-0.05%)
52-WEEK LOWSTOP 10 ANALYST CALLSHank Paulson's speech gave some support after his speech didn't ring of the "Death of GSE's" and shares of
Fannie Mae (NYSE:
FNM) were up over 10% at $17.40 in today's final minutes.
Continue reading Closing Bell: Late day rally on financials over oil
Posted Jul 7th 2008 4:26PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: Yahoo! (YHOO), Alcoa Inc (AA), Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), Merck and Co (MRK)
If we told you that a $3.00-plus drop in the price of oil wouldn't cause a major stock rally, it might only not be a surprise the bears who believe we are headed lower no matter what. Today was one where the markets spent much time in negative territory and then recovering towards the end of the day before making one last dive. If you think it was a quiet day, we had nearly a 300-point difference between today's high in the morning and the lows before today's recovery. These are today's
unofficial closing levels:
The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:
DIS) saw a severe downgrade after Lehman cut it to Underweight on its premium to peers and weakness tied to Theme Park exposure. Shares were down over 2% at $30.22 in today's final minutes.
Continue reading Closing Bell: Late day recovery fizzles as we enter earnings season
Posted Jul 3rd 2008 1:10PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: Abbott Laboratories (ABT)
Today was a good end to a strange trading week, while many shares had light volume with today's half-day trading session. Non-Farm payrolls declined worse than expected to 62,000, and May was revised higher to 62,000 jobs lost as well. The ISM non-Manufacturing came in again under 50 at a very weak 48.2, signaling growth isn't back to being close to the table. The dollar traders were probably less than thankful after the European Central Bank raised its overnight rates and as oil neared $146.00 per barrel intra-day. These are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
We actually handed an award to analysts for a tie in the
Worst Analyst Calls of the Week. They were that late.
Abbott Labs (NYSE:
ABT) saw a rise of almost 1% to $54.75 after the
FDA approved its XIENCE drug eluting stent.
NVIDIA (NASDAQ:
NVDA) saw a horrific drop after the company's earnings warnings. This is what happens when your new product fails enough that it increased the severity. Shares were down 30% at $12.49 at the close.
Penn National Gaming (NASDAQ:
PENN) actually rose despite the merger finally being called off. We knew this was coming. Shares closed up 3.7% at $29.66 today.
Have a great weekend, and remember markets are closed Friday in observance of the July 4 holiday.
Jon C. Ogg
Posted Jul 2nd 2008 4:24PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: After the bell, Starbucks (SBUX), General Motors (GM), Lehman Br Holdings (LEH)
After a brief refreshment, today just ended up being ugly rather than what many were hoping would be a boring day. Today's action was likely due more to analyst concerns, but a late-day news report on a security breach scare at LAX airport may have added stress to a trading day that would have otherwise been quiet. The markets are grossly oversold, but there just seems to be very few reasons for traders to hit their "BUY" buttons on keyboards.
These are UNOFFICIAL closing bell levels for major index readings:
General Motors (NYSE:
GM) was the daily disaster due analyst call. Merrill Lynch downgraded the stock
to Underperform and noted that "the chances of bankruptcy aren't impossible." 24/7 Wall St. noted the same weeks before, and we even posted odds on what the chances are that major auto or airline companies would have to file for protection by the end of 2008 to early 2009.
Continue reading Closing Bell: DJIA 11,000 or 10,000 is closer rather than farther
Posted Jul 1st 2008 4:23PM by Jon Ogg
Filed under: General Motors (GM), CIT Group (CIT), Fortune Brands (FO), SanDisk Corp (SNDK)
The bulls got to lead the first day of the quarter, although we would note that if today was the norm that trading volatility isn't slowing down regardless of the direction. Oil rose again toward session highs on tensions and the usual myriad of reasons we cite for oil rising (yes, it's that routine). Here are today's
unofficial closing levels:
- DJIA 11,381.77 (+31.51)
- S&P500 1284.89 (+4.89)
- NASDAQ 2304.97 (+11.99)
- 10YR T-Note 3.992% (+0.013%)
- 52-WEEK LOWS
We actually saw many
financial sector upgrades from research firms today, which sent many of the corresponding shares higher in what feels like a "for once" statement. We would caution that later in the day an analyst report did note other banks would
need more capital (again).
Continue reading Closing Bell: Bulls drive autos, yes autos, to win the day
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