Is Google immune to an economic downturn?

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Google, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) continues to be a high-flying stock, closing yesterday at $641.68. While some think Google will reach $1,000 per share in the near future, some aren't sure. With "growing signs that the U.S. economy may be headed for a downturn," can Google keep up its magnificent pace as a growth stock and a company known for ever-growing quarterly revenues?

Google's business model could actually be helped by an economic downturn. The company is in a position to weather conditions that would make many industries swoon, and that's by design. By being a virtual company, you can imagine the layers of insulation Google has from nastiness in the economy. No physical inventory, no product cycles, no commodities, etc. Must be nice.

But if advertisers lessen their spending during times of financial crises, Google could get hit. Its network completely relies on advertisers and little else at this time. This is where the difference between graphic and text ads show up -- those Google text ads are displayed while customers are actively engaged (at least, partially) in searching for a product or service.

Though Google's graphic ads are threatening the revenue base of television networks and other types of media, advertisers still want to value for their money. If advertisers start to think Google ads are losing their effectiveness,
the stock is not headed to $1,000 anytime soon.

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Last updated: March 21, 2010: 01:16 AM

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